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Mershon Center for International Security Studies

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Conference
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The 2016 U.S. Presidential Election: Tumult at Home, Retreat Abroad?
From Friday, November 03, 2017
To Saturday, November 04, 2017
Mershon Center for International Security Studies
1501 Neil Avenue, Room 120
Columbus, Ohio 43201

Thomas Wood

Watch Part I of the conference here

Watch Part II of the conference here

Watch Part III of the conference here

Watch Part IV of the conference here

Register for the conference

Download conference program (pdf)

Synopsis

The 2016 U.S. presidential election was marked by sharp contrasts between the major party candidates on domestic policies, as well as both presidential nominees seeking to create clear distinctions from President Obama’s foreign policies. The election also featured a marked departure from the normal way that questions of race and nationality were addressed, at the same time that populist movements in several European liberal democracies were stoking suspicion of foreign trade and immigration.

The topics raised by the 2016 election are crucial for the academic understanding of elections. Did the marked foreign policy differences between the candidates affect vote choice? What role did racial and religious identity play in forging U.S. political coalitions? How important was a generalized resentment of governing elites that was amplified by social media? What about gender and domestic issues such as Obamacare? This conference brings together political science and communication scholars to consider these several forces that affected the election and its unpredicted outcome.

Preliminary Schedule

Herb Weisberg

Friday, November 3, 2017

8:30 - 8:45 a.m. - Welcoming Remarks
Richard K. Herrmann, The Ohio State University
Thomas Wood and Herb Weisberg, The Ohio State University

8:45 - 10:15 a.m.
Wendy Rahn and Howard Lavine, University of Minnesota (Discussant:  Erik Clarke, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Populists and the Representation Gap in the Election 2016"

Download paper (pdf)

Christopher Gelpi and Elias Assaf, The Ohio State University (Discussant:  Jon Kingzette, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Politics Trumps Policy: The Role of Foreign Policy Attitudes in the 2016 Presidential Election"

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Panel Chair:  Paul Beck, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

10:15 - 10:30 a.m. - Coffee Break

10:30 a.m. - 12:15 p.m.
John Sides, George Washington University, and Michael Tesler and Lynn Vavreck, UCLA (Discussant: Jon Green, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Donald Trump and the Rise of White Identity Politics"

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Daniel Hopkins, University of Pennsylvania (Discussant: Andrew Podob, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Prejudice, Priming, and Presidential Voting: Panel Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Election"

Panel Chair:  Herb Asher, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

1:15 – 2:45 p.m.
Eric Oliver, University of Chicago, and Thomas Wood, The Ohio State University (Discussant: Jon Kingzette, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Populist Intuitions:  How Gut Feelings Explain Donald Trump's Improbable Success in the 2016 Presidential Primaries"

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R. Kelly Garrett, The Ohio State University (Discussant:  Laura Moses, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Are Social Media or Email Promoting Misperceptions? Evidence from the 2012 and 2016 U.S. Presidential Elections"

Panel Chair:  Nathaniel Swigger, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

2:45 – 3 p.m. - Coffee Break

3 – 5 p.m.
Diana Mutz, University of Pennsylvania (Discussant:  Kyle Davis, PhD student, Ohio State)
"One Nation Under Siege? Mass Opinion in the 2016 Presidential Election"

Ethan Porter, Georgetown University, and Thomas Wood, The Ohio State University (Discussant:  Kyle Davis, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Did Jon Stewart elect Donald Trump?  Evidence from Television Ratings Data"

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Panel Chair:  Nathaniel Swigger, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

Saturday, November 4, 2017

9 - 10:30 a.m.
Erik C. Nisbet, R. Kelly Garrett, Richard Gunther and Paul Allen Beck, The Ohio State University (Discussant: Patrick Tucker Shull, PhD student, Ohio State)
"The Impact of Disinformation in the 2016 Presidential Election: Did Politically Motivated Falsehoods Influence Voters?"

William Jacoby, Michigan State University (Discussant: Ryan Dawe, Phd student, Ohio State)
"A Directional Model of Candidate Evaluations in the 2016 Presidential Campaign"

Download paper (pdf)

Panel Chair:  Herb Weisberg, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

10:30 - 10:45 a.m. - Coffee Break

10:45 a.m. - 12:15 p.m.
Walter Borges, University of North Texas at Dallas, and Harold D. Clarke and Marianne Stewart, University of Texas at Dallas (Discussant: Sean Trende, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Hillary’s Hypothesis: Attitudes Towards Women and Voting in the 2016 Presidential Election

Vladimir Kogan & Thomas Wood, The Ohio State University (Discussant: Jon Green, PhD student, Ohio State)
"Did Obamacare Cost Clinton the 2016 Election?"

Panel Chair:  Anthony Mughan, Departments of Political Science & International Studies, The Ohio State University

12:15  - 12:30 p.m. - Closing Remarks
Thomas Wood and Herb Weisberg, The Ohio State University

Participants

Herb Asher, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

Paul Allen Beck, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University
Walter Borges, Department of Political Science, University of North Texas at Dallas
R. Kelly Garrett, School of Communication, The Ohio State University
Christopher Gelpi, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University
Richard Gunther, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University
Daniel Hopkins, Department of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania
William Jacoby, Department of Political Science, Michigan State University
Vladimir Kogan, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

Howard Lavine, Departments of Political Science and Psychology, University of Minnesota
Diana Mutz, Departments of Political Science and Communication, University of Pennsylvania

Anthony Mughan, Department of International Studies, The Ohio State University
Erik Nisbet, School of Communication, The Ohio State University
Eric Oliver, Department of Political Science, University of Chicago
Ethan Porter, School of Media and Public Affairs, George Washington University
Wendy Rahn, Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota
John Sides, Department of Political Science, George Washington University

Nathaniel Swigger, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University
Herbert Weisberg, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University
Thomas Wood, Department of Political Science, The Ohio State University

 

This conference is co-sponsored by the Democracy Studies Program and the Division of Social and Behavioral Sciences in the College of Arts and Sciences at The Ohio State University.

 

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